879 
abio10 pgtw 221130
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the Indian Ocean
/reissued/221130z-221800znov2009//
rmks/
1. North Indian Ocean area (Malay Peninsula west to coast of Africa):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.
2. South Indian Ocean area (135e west to coast of Africa):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary:
      (1) the area of convection previously located near 10.2s
60.3e, is now located near 9.4s 56.2e, approximately 430 nm
northeast of Madagascar. Animated infrared satellite imagery shows
consolidating deep convection over an elongated (northwest to
southeast) low level circulation center (LLCC). A 220544z trmm
microwave image depicts the wrapping nature of the convection while
the 220210z Quikscat pass reveals an elongated LLCC. Environmental
analysis indicates the system is slightly equatorward of an upper-
level anticyclone and is in an area of minimal vertical wind shear.
Additionally, a series of transiting mid-latitude troughs are
serving to enhance the poleward outflow. Maximum sustained surface
winds are estimated at 25 to 30 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is
estimated to be near 1007 mb. Due to increasing organization of the
deep convection, the potential for the development of a significant
tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to fair.
      (2) no other suspect areas.
3. Justification for reissue: upgraded area in para 2.B.(1) to
fair.//