Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE 
629 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015 

Short term...(today through thursday) 
issued at 235 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015 

Temperatures and timing of showers associated with upper trough 
and surface cold front Wednesday night and Thursday will be the 
main concerns in the short term. 

Spotty returns showing up on radar over eastern parts of the area 
at 07z are expected to push east of the area or dissipate by the 
start of the period as upper ridge builds into the region. Nothing 
has been reported at the surface so far but expect only sprinkles 
if any precipitation does occur through 11z. 

Variable sky cover is expected across the area today into 
Wednesday as broad area of high pressure at the surface and 
ridging aloft maintains a weak wind flow over the lower Missouri 
Valley. The lower level moisture appears to hang around until the 
cold front clears things out on Thursday. 

The forecast area looks to be between the better forcing on 
Wednesday night and Thursday so probability of precipitation kept on the lower end of 
chance category at this time. Although all models hint at this in 
there quantitative precipitation forecast fields Euro is a bit slower with the primary upper 
trough which allows precipitation to linger Thursday afternoon. Mild 
temperatures remain over the area ahead of the front into 

Long term...(thursday night through monday) 
issued at 235 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015 

Mild conditions look to continue in the extended period with main 
storm track well to the north across southern Canada...while 
nearly zonal flow prevails across much of the nation. Temperatures 
will average well above normal during this time with dry weather 
through the period. 


Aviation...(12z tafs for kofk...klnk and koma.) 
Issued at 627 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015 

VFR conditions and light and variable winds are expected through 
the taf cycle. A few locations around the area are seeing briefly 
reduced visibilities this morning...but have held any mention out 
of the taf sites. Ceilings should range between 5-10kft through 


Oax watches/warnings/advisories... 


Short term...fobert 
long term...fobert 

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