Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE 
300 am CDT Tuesday Oct 21 2014 


Short term...(today through thursday) 
issued at 300 am CDT Tuesday Oct 21 2014 


Temperatures during the period and timing of system coming into 
the region on Wednesday will be the primary forecast concerns. 


Little change to the general forecast trends during this period. 
Did change to a faster movement of the frontal system moving 
across the area Wednesday night with NAM...GFS and Euro all 
showing a similar solution in placing precipitation axis into central 
Iowa by 12z Thursday. 


Temperatures will continue to stay at or above seasonal normals 
during the period. Little cooling coming in behind the cold front 
on Thursday as upper ridge builds quickly back into the region. 


Long term...(thursday night through monday) 
issued at 300 am CDT Tuesday Oct 21 2014 


Extended period starts off with upper ridge the dominant feature 
over the region. This will result in temperatures remaining well 
above seasonal normals into the weekend and dry weather. Although 
the GFS and Euro have differing solutions with upper trough 
coming into the western Continental U.S. And surface cold front in the plains 
region Sunday into Monday...appears some low probability of precipitation warrented at 
this time. Temperatures also should trend cooler after Sunday with 
upper trough in the area. 


&& 


Aviation...(06z tafs for kofk...klnk and koma.) 
Issued at 1136 PM CDT Monday Oct 20 2014 


VFR conditions will continue through the taf cycle. Light 
southerly winds will increase into the afternoon. 




&& 


Oax watches/warnings/advisories... 
NE...none. 
Iowa...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...fobert 
long term...fobert 
aviation...Kern 






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