Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas 
253 am CDT Monday Aug 31 2015 


Short term...(today through wednesday) 
issued at 250 am CDT Monday Aug 31 2015 


Fog expected early this morning across the area with some patchy 
dense possible over south central/southeast Kansas...however not 
expecting widespread dense fog with this mornings setup being less 
favorable compared to Sunday morning. Meanwhile warm above normal 
temperatures are expected this period as upper level ridge maintains 
across the region. South winds will also be on the increase 
especially for Tuesday/Wednesday...as surface trough axis deepens 
over western Kansas and resultant surface pressure gradients 
tightens across central/eastern Kansas. A upper level wave will move 
eastward across Nebraska for Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will 
cause middle-level winds to veer out with some elevated warm/moist 
advection for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning across central 
Kansas...this could spark off a few elevated showers/storms. 


Long term...(thursday through sunday) 
issued at 250 am CDT Monday Aug 31 2015 


Confidence is high that above normal temperatures will prevail 
across the region this period...with a dry weather pattern 
maintaining until perhaps Sunday night or next Monday. Long range 
models show a frontal boundary trying to push southward into 
Kansas on Sunday night or Monday next week. 


Jakub 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Monday night) 
issued at 1140 PM CDT sun Aug 30 2015 


Upper ridge aloft will remain anchored just northwest of the 
area through Monday. A rather moist boundary later will remain in 
place across eastern Kansas tonight with fog expected again 
toward dawn. Confidence on MVFR visibilities is high with modest 
confidence for IFR. Patchy LIFR visibilities will also be possible 
though better chances and coverage should be just north or 
northeast of the Wichita forecast area. Otherwise light southeast 
flow will continue with a modest southerly flow developing by 
Monday afternoon. 


Ked 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Wichita-kict 92 70 93 72 / 10 10 10 10 
Hutchinson 93 70 94 72 / 0 10 10 10 
Newton 91 69 92 72 / 10 10 10 10 
Eldorado 90 69 91 71 / 10 10 10 10 
Winfield-kwld 92 70 93 71 / 10 10 10 10 
Russell 94 67 95 73 / 0 10 10 20 
Great Bend 94 68 95 73 / 0 10 10 20 
Salina 93 68 94 73 / 0 10 10 10 
McPherson 93 69 94 72 / 0 10 10 10 
Coffeyville 90 69 91 70 / 10 10 10 10 
Chanute 89 69 90 70 / 10 10 10 10 
Iola 89 69 90 70 / 10 10 10 10 
Parsons-kppf 89 69 90 70 / 10 10 10 10 


&& 


Ict watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 



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