Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas 
628 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014 


..updated for 12z aviation discussion... 


Synopsis... 
issued at 318 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014 


A weak upper-deck trough extending from the Minnesota/North Dakota 
border...across central Nebraska...to northwest Kansas is dragging a 
weak cold front extending from the Minnesota/North Dakota border... 
through central Nebraska...to northwest Kansas southeast. South winds 
around 10 miles per hour are keeping temperatures between 45 and 50 degrees. 


&& 


Short term...(today through saturday) 
issued at 318 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014 


Forecast highlight: a freeze warning is being issued for all areas 
from late Friday night to Saturday morning. 


An extremely high amplitude pattern covers North America with a middle 
to upper ridge...extending from New Mexico all the way to northern 
Saskatchewan...and an extremely deep wave curving from the southern 
Hudson Bay...across the Great Lakes...then to the Gulf Coast keeping 
the forecast areas under a fast northerly flow regime. With the wave 
undergoing cyclogenesis over the Ohio Valley the ultra-high amplitude 
ridge will be very slow to move east...extending from the 
Saskatchewan/Manitoba border all the way to the Texas Panhandle on 
Friday. Such a strong north/northwest upper low flow regime will 
drive a Canadian airmass almost due south from Minnesota to Missouri 
Friday night. As such the coldest air of the season will invade the 
Kansas region Friday night and Saturday morning. With temperatures 
plunging into the lower 20s across the eastern half of Kansas a 
freeze warning has been issued for all of the County Warning Area 
from 2 am to 9 am Saturday. 


Long term...(sunday through wednesday) 
issued at 318 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014 


A second and almost equally intense upper wave...located over the 
Great Basin on Saturday... will begin to move east...crossing the 
central rockies Sunday afternoon and night where and when it will 
extend from Montana to Baja California California. As the upper-deck wave 
continues its slow trek east on Monday this would induce rapid lower- 
deck cyclogenesis over the Western Plains on Sunday. This would 
inject moisture from Texas...across Oklahoma and eastern Kansas...to 
Missouri. The result is that scattered showers and embedded 
thunderstorms are still scheduled to arrive most of central and 
eastern Kansas on Monday with the greatest chances targeting 
southeast Kansas and areas southeast of these areas. Chances will 
increase Monday night and Tuesday with the rains ending in a west to 
east manner Tuesday night. Mostly clear weather will prevail during 
the middle of next week. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Friday morning) 
issued at 629 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014 


An upper level trough will move southeast across the lower 
Missouri Valley this morning...with some middle-level clouds 
and perhaps a sprinkle affecting southeast Kansas and the 
kcnu terminal. Otherwise a cold front will move south 
across the area today with gusty north to northwest winds 
in its wake. VFR conditions are expected to prevail over 
the entire area today and tonight. 


Ked 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Wichita-kict 71 37 51 27 / 0 0 0 0 
Hutchinson 69 36 49 27 / 0 0 0 0 
Newton 69 35 48 26 / 0 0 0 0 
Eldorado 70 36 49 25 / 0 0 0 0 
Winfield-kwld 72 37 53 27 / 0 0 0 0 
Russell 67 34 49 28 / 0 0 0 0 
Great Bend 68 34 50 28 / 0 0 0 0 
Salina 68 34 46 26 / 0 0 0 0 
McPherson 68 35 47 26 / 0 0 0 0 
Coffeyville 71 39 51 24 / 0 0 0 0 
Chanute 69 37 48 23 / 0 0 0 0 
Iola 69 37 47 23 / 0 0 0 0 
Parsons-kppf 70 38 49 24 / 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Ict watches/warnings/advisories... 
freeze warning from 2 am to 10 am CDT Saturday for ksz032-033- 
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100. 


&& 


$$ 



National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations
Back to forecast page
Non-Expanded Version (with abbreviations)

Units: English | Metric

Find the Weather for any City, State or Zipcode, or Country:

U.S. State List | Severe Weather | Tropical Storms | Ski Conditions
United States | Canada | Central America | South America | Asia | Europe | Australia | Africa | Islands

Weather Underground Copyright© 2014
Weather Underground, Inc.

Questions or Comments? Contact Us