000 
fxus63 kict 241137 
afdict 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas 
537 am CST Tue Jan 24 2017 


Short term...(today through wednesday) 
issued at 240 am CST Tue Jan 24 2017 


Highlights: warm and windy today, with cooler near normal 
temperatures, breezy northwest winds and nil precipitation chances 
through early to mid next week. 


Potent storm system currently spinning over the central/northern 
rockies will affect primarily Nebraska, South Dakota, southern 
Minnesota and Iowa today and tonight with widespread wintry 
precipitation. The Kansas region will remain on the warm, dry and 
windy side of the system. Given the expected sunshine and mixing, 
low-level thicknesses support daytime temperatures soaring into 
the 60s to low 70s...warmest near the Kansas/OK border. Furthermore, 
south/southwest winds will be fairly breezy/gusty. 


A change is coming though as a cold front progresses across the 
region this evening and tonight, with a return to near to below 
normal temperatures in the 30s-40s Wednesday, along with continued 
breezy northwest winds. Clouds will be on the increase as well 
Wednesday from the north. 


Long term...(thursday through monday) 
issued at 240 am CST Tue Jan 24 2017 


Quiet weather is expected through the next 7-10 days, as models 
and associated ensemble consensus develops an amplified longwave 
pattern across North America, with ridging over the west and 
troughing over the east. This will leave Kansas underneath dry 
northwest flow aloft, supporting nil precipitation chances, near 
normal daytime temperatures mostly in the 40s, breezy northwest 
winds and mostly sunny skies through at least early to mid next 
week. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Wednesday morning) 
issued at 534 am CST Tue Jan 24 2017 


VFR conditions expected for all locations except for portions of 
central Kansas where some MVFR cigs could develop behind a 
southward moving cold front. Winds will increase today as surface 
low pressure deepens and slides eastward across Kansas. Meanwhile 
a cold front will push southward across the region for this 
afternoon into tonight. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
issued at 240 am CST Tue Jan 24 2017 


Expecting very high to low-end extreme grassland fire danger this 
afternoon...highest over southern Kansas. Stout/gusty south to 
southwest winds, well above normal temperatures and relative 
humidity in the 30s percent will support this elevated fire 
danger. Will hold off issuing a red flag warning, although 
marginally critical fire danger is briefly possible this afternoon 
over southern Kansas. Although not nearly as high as today, the 
grassland fire danger will remain somewhat elevated through 
Saturday due to continued dry and breezy northwest winds. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Wichita-kict 67 30 40 24 / 0 0 0 0 
Hutchinson 65 28 39 23 / 10 0 10 0 
Newton 65 28 38 23 / 10 0 10 0 
Eldorado 66 30 39 24 / 0 0 0 0 
Winfield-kwld 69 30 42 24 / 0 0 0 0 
Russell 51 25 36 20 / 10 10 10 0 
Great Bend 56 26 37 21 / 10 10 10 0 
Salina 60 29 37 22 / 10 10 10 0 
McPherson 63 28 38 22 / 10 10 10 0 
Coffeyville 70 33 44 26 / 0 0 0 0 
Chanute 66 32 41 24 / 10 0 0 10 
Iola 64 31 40 24 / 10 0 10 10 
Parsons-kppf 69 32 43 25 / 0 0 0 10 


&& 


Ict watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 






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