Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 
1210 PM CDT Fri Oct 28 2016 

issued at 420 am CDT Friday Oct 28 2016 

Upper ridge remains over the central US keeping eastern Kansas and 
western Missouri dry through the weekend and into early next week. 
Some patchy fog again this morning but with the potential for 
stratus, moisture limited to western cwa, and the mixing...should 
not see widespread or LIFR visibility enough to warrant advisory. 

Breezy today through Saturday as surface gradient tightens and mixing 
after sunrise results in winds out of the south southwest gusting to 
around 25 to 30 mph. Most favorable area will be northwest Missouri 
throughout the day until around sunset. Winds will increase again on 
Saturday as similar conditions prevail. 

Temperatures will flirt with record Max today...but believe will stay 
a few degrees below. With the unseasonable temperatures and 
winds...there is a slight concern about fire weather...however, a 
pool of low level moisture in southwest portion of the County Warning Area will 
advect over the area and result in relative humidities well above 
criteria for any highlights. 

The upper ridge flattens a little on Saturday and a few short wave 
troughs ripple through, but they will stay well north. Temperatures 
will once again reach into the lower 80s as the boundary level flow 
remains out of the southwest. 

A weak cool front moves through as ridge axis retrogrades a little to 
the west early Sunday morning. This will keep temperatures a little 
cooler than Saturday...only around 70f deg. 

Flow becomes more cyclonic towards at the start of the work week and 
a warm front moves into the area. Temperatures back to around 80f deg 
on Monday. Moisture is limited early so no precipitation until late 
Tuesday into Wednesday. The front may become stationary across 
central Missouri so we may see a few rounds of showers and 
thunderstorms late into the work week, when a cold front moves 
through and brings an end to the precipitation later on Thursday. 
Temperatures will cool off with this front back to around 70f degrees 
by Wednesday and Thursday. 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon) 
issued at 1210 PM CDT Friday Oct 28 2016 

Main impact for aviation over the next 24 hours will be the potential 
for low level wind shear development this evening and persisting 
through tomorrow morning. Forecast sounds show a strong low level jet 
moving overhead tonight with 50kt winds between 1500 and 2000 feet. 
Surface winds will remain mixed overnight and should be from the 
south southwest between 10 and 15 kts with some higher gusts 
possible. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected with only high 
level clouds streaming through. 


Eax watches/warnings/advisories... 



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