Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Dodge City Kansas 
214 am CDT Wednesday Sep 28 2016 


..updated for short and long term... 


Short term...(today and tonight) 
issued at 211 am CDT Wed Sep 28 2016 


An upper low will continue to drop into the Ohio Valley today 
pushing a back door cold front across western Kansas. Light west 
winds will shift to the northeast with the front at 10 to 20 mph. 
Expect plenty of sunshine today with highs in the mid to upper 70s 
from Hays to Garden City and Dodge, with warmer low 80s from Liberal 
to Syracuse and west. 


For tonight, mostly clear skies prevail, with a cooler ridge of high 
pressure moving into western Kansas. Light east winds become light 
and variable. Lows will be colder and in the low to mid 40s. Mid to 
upper 40s will be across far western Kansas. 


Long term...(thursday through tuesday) 
issued at 211 am CDT Wed Sep 28 2016 


Upper level ridging will be in control across the High Plains into 
Friday, then begin to breakdown ahead of the next strong upper level 
trough. With this breakdown, some weak shortwaves will provide only 
a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms late Friday into 
Sunday. By Monday the large upper trough will be pushing into The 
Rockies and Central Plains with upper level southwesterly flow 
increasing. With increasing layer shear, a dryline, and good 
moisture flux ahead of the dryline, some strong to severe storms 
look possible by Monday afternoon and evening. The upper trough 
and an associated cold front will then push across western Kansas 
early on Tuesday with most of the storms pushing east of the 
region. Highs will warm gradually from around 70 on Thursday to 
the mid 70s and lower 80s into Sunday. By Monday highs could 
approach 90 ahead of the cold front. Lows will gradually warm 
from the 40s into the 50s. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night) 
issued at 1108 PM CDT Tue Sep 27 2016 


A back door cold front will switch light southwest to west winds 
to the northeast after 14z at 10-15kt. Expect VFR conditions to 
hold. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
ddc 80 45 70 46 / 0 0 0 0 
gck 82 45 74 47 / 0 0 0 0 
eha 85 48 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 
lbl 85 48 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 
hys 74 44 69 46 / 0 0 0 0 
p28 79 47 70 47 / 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Ddc watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...Kruse 
long term...Kruse 
aviation...Kruse 



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