Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Dodge City Kansas 
527 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 28 2015 


..updated for 0z aviation discussion... 


Short term...(this evening through wednesday) 
issued at 318 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 28 2015 


A strong shortwave trough passed across the northern plains today, 
pushing a cold front through western Kansas. The surface front 
will stall out to the south of Kansas, but the middle level 
baroclinic zone will be situated across western Kansas tonight. Any 
surface based thunderstorms this evening will be along the front 
in south central Kansas including around Pratt, Medicine Lodge and 
Coldwater. Elevated thunderstorms will be a possibility tonight 
across western Kansas in the middle level thermal gradient and these 
may persist into Wednesday as well. Widespread cloud cover will 
prevent temperatures from rising out of the 80s on Wednesday. 


Long term...(wednesday night through tuesday) 
issued at 318 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 28 2015 


Thunderstorm chances may linger into Wednesday night before a 
drying trend commences Thursday and Friday. However, even during 
this drying period, given the northwesterly middle to upper level 
flow, nocturnal storm clusters can't be completely ruled out. 
High temperatures will remain on the cool side with mostly 80s 
through Thursday. The warmest readings may be along the 
Interstate 70 corridor where 90 degree readings are possible with 
more sunshine. A gradual warming trend will continue into the 
weekend and early next week as upper level ridging persists over 
the southern rockies and given the absence of any stronger cold 
fronts. Expect highs in the lower to middle 90s by Saturday and 
continuing into Monday. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening) 
issued at 527 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 28 2015 


VFR conditions are expected across the taf sites through Wednesday 
evening, except for a short period where thunderstorms will be 
possible after 04z at kddc and kgck as a middle level front 
passes. Winds will be out of the northeast at around 10-15 kts 
behind a front that passed through during the late morning hours 
today. Middle level clouds will increase overnight and into 
tomorrow. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
ddc 68 84 64 85 / 50 40 40 40 
gck 65 83 63 85 / 40 40 30 20 
eha 66 81 65 85 / 50 50 40 30 
lbl 68 83 66 85 / 50 50 40 40 
hys 67 85 62 88 / 30 20 20 20 
p28 74 88 67 87 / 40 30 40 40 


&& 


Ddc watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...Finch 
long term...Finch 
aviation...white 






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